ブルガリア総選挙 | 選挙イヤー2024

10月27日、ブルガリアにて3年間で7回目となる総選挙(一院制、定数240)が実施された。ブルガリアでは、2021年までボイコ・ボリソフ元首相が約10年間にわたり政権を担ってきたが、2021年以降、どの政党も過半数を獲得できておらず、政権が発足しないか、発足しても短命に終わることが多く、政治的に不安定な状況が続いている。こうした政治的な不安定さの背景には、経済成長や汚職対策における既存政党の行き詰まりや、極端な主張を掲げる新興政党の増加があるとされる。今回の選挙でも、ボリソフ元首相率いる中道右派政党「欧州発展のためのブルガリア市民」(GERB)が69議席を獲得し(1議席増)、2024年6月の前回総選挙と同様に第一党となったが、過半数には遠く及ばなかった。第二党のキリル・ペトコフ元首相率いる中道政党「我々は変化を続ける」(PP)を中心とする政党連合(PP–DB)は前回総選挙で大幅に減少した議席を回復できず、さらに2議席を減らして37議席の獲得にとどまった。また、「ブルガリア・ファースト」を掲げる新ロシア派政党「リバイバル(Revival)」は35議席を獲得し、前回に続いて第三党の座を維持し、ロシア・ウクライナ戦争の即時停戦を求める新政党「道徳、団結、名誉(MECh)」は12議席を獲得する躍進を見せた。ブルガリア国会の分断は今回の選挙を通じても解消されず、ボリソフ元首相の組閣へのハードルは依然として高い。組閣の失敗と度重なる総選挙の実施により、国民の既存政党への失望や不信が強まり、親ロ政党や極右政党への支持が拡大し、組閣がさらに難しくなるという悪循環が続いているといえる。
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Yusuke Ishikawa Research Fellow/Digital Communications Officer
Yusuke Ishikawa is Research Fellow and Digital Communications Officer at Asia Pacific Initiative (API) and Institute of Geoeconomics (IOG). His research focuses on European comparative politics, democratic backsliding, and anti-corruption. He also serves as External Contributor for Transparency International’s Anti-Corruption Helpdesk, and as Part-time Lecturer in European Affairs at the Department of Economics and Business Management, Saitama Gakuen University. Prior to his current roles, he was Research Associate at IOG and API, contributing to its translation project of Critical Review of the Abe Administration into English and Chinese. Previously, he has worked as Research Assistant for API's CPTPP program and interned with its Fukushima Nuclear Accident and Abe Administration projects. His other experience includes serving as a full-time research intern at Transparency International Hungary and as a part-time consultant with Transparency International Defence & Security in the UK. His publications include NGOs, Advocacy, and Anti-Corruption (Routledge, 2025) and A Dangerous Confluence: The Intertwined Crises of Disinformation and Democracies (Institute of Geoeconomics, 2024). He has been featured in national and international media outlets including Japan Times, NHK, TV Asahi, Neue Zürcher Zeitung (NZZ), Handelsblatt, and Expresso. He received his BA in Political Science from Meiji University, MA in Corruption and Governance (with Distinction) from the University of Sussex, and another MA in Political Science from Central European University. During his BA and MAs, he also acquired teacher’s licenses in social studies in secondary education and a TESOL (Teaching English to Speakers of Other Language) certificate. [Concurrent Positions] Part-time Lecturer, Department of Economics and Business Management, Saitama Gakuen University External Contributor Consultant, Anti-Corruption Helpdesk, Transparency International Secretariat (TI-S)
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Yusuke Ishikawa

Research Fellow,
Digital Communications Officer

Yusuke Ishikawa is Research Fellow and Digital Communications Officer at Asia Pacific Initiative (API) and Institute of Geoeconomics (IOG). His research focuses on European comparative politics, democratic backsliding, and anti-corruption. He also serves as External Contributor for Transparency International’s Anti-Corruption Helpdesk, and as Part-time Lecturer in European Affairs at the Department of Economics and Business Management, Saitama Gakuen University. Prior to his current roles, he was Research Associate at IOG and API, contributing to its translation project of Critical Review of the Abe Administration into English and Chinese. Previously, he has worked as Research Assistant for API's CPTPP program and interned with its Fukushima Nuclear Accident and Abe Administration projects. His other experience includes serving as a full-time research intern at Transparency International Hungary and as a part-time consultant with Transparency International Defence & Security in the UK. His publications include NGOs, Advocacy, and Anti-Corruption (Routledge, 2025) and A Dangerous Confluence: The Intertwined Crises of Disinformation and Democracies (Institute of Geoeconomics, 2024). He has been featured in national and international media outlets including Japan Times, NHK, TV Asahi, Neue Zürcher Zeitung (NZZ), Handelsblatt, and Expresso. He received his BA in Political Science from Meiji University, MA in Corruption and Governance (with Distinction) from the University of Sussex, and another MA in Political Science from Central European University. During his BA and MAs, he also acquired teacher’s licenses in social studies in secondary education and a TESOL (Teaching English to Speakers of Other Language) certificate. [Concurrent Positions] Part-time Lecturer, Department of Economics and Business Management, Saitama Gakuen University External Contributor Consultant, Anti-Corruption Helpdesk, Transparency International Secretariat (TI-S)

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