アイルランド総選挙 | 選挙イヤー2024

11月29日にアイルランド下院選挙(定数174)が実施され、サイモン・ハリス首相率いる統一アイルランド党(フィネ・ゲール、中道右派)は3議席増の38議席を獲得した。ハリス首相は、情報セキュリティー上のリスクを認識しつつも、若者へのアプローチとしてTikTokを積極的に活用しており、「TikTok宰相」という異名を持つ。2024年3月にハリス氏が首相に就任したことで、一時的に統一アイルランド党の支持率は回復し、議席を増やすことには成功したものの、期待していたほどの勢いは得られなかった。他方、同党と連立を組む共和党(フィアナ・フォイル、中道右派)は10議席増の48議席を獲得し、第一党を維持するとともに党勢を大幅に拡大した。連立協定により約束された首相交代までの間の2年半(2020年~2022年)にわたり首相を務めたミホル・マーティン副首相は、ハリス首相が「息切れ」することを予想し、地味ではあるが頼りになるリーダー像を作り上げたとされており、この選挙戦略が功を奏したといえる。ただし、連立与党全体としては、緑の党(改選前12議席)が大幅に議席を減らし、1議席のみの獲得にとどまったため、過半数にはわずかに及ばない結果となった。最大野党でナショナリスト政党のシン・フェイン(改選前37議席)は、度重なるスキャンダルや一貫性に欠ける移民政策が影響し、今回の選挙では得票率を減少させる結果となったが2議席増の39議席を獲得した。今後は、共和党と統一アイルランド党を中心とした連立政権が少数与党となり、小規模政党や無所属議員からの支持を得る形で政権運営を模索するとみられるが、生活費や住宅価格の高騰といった課題が続く中で、与党への逆風が比較的小さかった点は注目に値する。
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Yusuke Ishikawa Research Fellow/Digital Communications Officer
Yusuke Ishikawa is a Research Fellow and Digital Communications Officer at Asia Pacific Initiative (API) and Institute of Geoeconomics (IOG). His research focuses on European comparative politics, democratic backsliding, and anti-corruption. He has published multiple commentaries and videos on European politics, such as elections in V4 countries, Hungarian politics and foreign policy, and corruption in Ukraine, for internal and external outlets. At API, as a digital communications officer, he is also responsible for the planning and management of the website and SNS (especially YouTube and LinkedIn). In addition to his research and PR-related roles, he previously worked as an intern for the Fukushima Nuclear Accident project and Abe administration project (Oct 2020 – Jan 2021), as a research assistant for CPTPP program (Jan 2021 – Jun 2022), and as a research associate for IOG’s Europe & Americas group and a translation project of the book “Critical Review of the Abe Administration” (Bungei Shunju, 2022) into English and Chinese (Jul 2022 – Jul 2024). Prior to joining API, he worked as a full-time research intern at Transparency International Hungary on a project to measure and interview concerned parties on the transparency of major banks in Hungary. This research was funded by Central European University (ISP Remote Internship Fund). He has also worked as a part-time consultant at Transparency International Defense & Security in the UK for Defense Companies Anti-Corruption Index. He received his BA in Political Science from Meiji University, MA in Corruption and Governance (with Distinction) from the University of Sussex, and another MA in Political Science from Central European University. During his BA and MAs, he also acquired teacher’s licenses in social studies in secondary education and a TESOL (Teaching English to Speakers of Other Language) certificate. [Concurrent Positions] External contributor consultant, Anti-Corruption Helpdesk, Transparency International Secretariat (TI-S)
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Yusuke Ishikawa

Research Fellow,
Digital Communications Officer

Yusuke Ishikawa is a Research Fellow and Digital Communications Officer at Asia Pacific Initiative (API) and Institute of Geoeconomics (IOG). His research focuses on European comparative politics, democratic backsliding, and anti-corruption. He has published multiple commentaries and videos on European politics, such as elections in V4 countries, Hungarian politics and foreign policy, and corruption in Ukraine, for internal and external outlets. At API, as a digital communications officer, he is also responsible for the planning and management of the website and SNS (especially YouTube and LinkedIn). In addition to his research and PR-related roles, he previously worked as an intern for the Fukushima Nuclear Accident project and Abe administration project (Oct 2020 – Jan 2021), as a research assistant for CPTPP program (Jan 2021 – Jun 2022), and as a research associate for IOG’s Europe & Americas group and a translation project of the book “Critical Review of the Abe Administration” (Bungei Shunju, 2022) into English and Chinese (Jul 2022 – Jul 2024). Prior to joining API, he worked as a full-time research intern at Transparency International Hungary on a project to measure and interview concerned parties on the transparency of major banks in Hungary. This research was funded by Central European University (ISP Remote Internship Fund). He has also worked as a part-time consultant at Transparency International Defense & Security in the UK for Defense Companies Anti-Corruption Index. He received his BA in Political Science from Meiji University, MA in Corruption and Governance (with Distinction) from the University of Sussex, and another MA in Political Science from Central European University. During his BA and MAs, he also acquired teacher’s licenses in social studies in secondary education and a TESOL (Teaching English to Speakers of Other Language) certificate. [Concurrent Positions] External contributor consultant, Anti-Corruption Helpdesk, Transparency International Secretariat (TI-S)

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